Alan Rohrbach is a long-time market participant and analyst, providing premium perspectives to the Ticker Tocker Podcast Network. After a decade of futures trading, broking and teaching, he shifted into capital markets advisory to banks, hedge funds and other businesses with the 1981 founding of Rohr International. Many international firms as well as individuals have taken advantage of his insightful ‘macro-technical’ market views and grasp of the Price Trend Analysis ‘Broad Concept’.
The major influence of the recent surge in US and international longer-term interest rates has been the key driver for the US EQUITIES and other asset classes. And interest rates are likely to continue pushing higher, making them both a near-term and intermediate-term key trend influence.
@ROHRINTL
ROHR Ticker Tocker TV Broadcast Archive on Nexus of the Macro-Technical Psychology:
(video presentation of the analysis with full charts and graphs)
https://app.tickertocker.com/newsletters/newsletter/901
All James Burke ‘The Day the Universe Changed’ content
©British Broadcasting Company & James Burke 1985
Annotated 5-year Weekly S&P 500 Future Continuation Chart
Through Friday 02/26/2021: https://bit.ly/2PoeJIz
Annotated 5-year Weekly T-note Future Continuation Chart
Through Friday 02/26/2021: https://bit.ly/2Ofrd4o
Annotated 5-week Hourly March S&P 500 Future Chart
Through Friday 02/26/2021 1200 EST: https://bit.ly/3e7GBem
Alan Rohrbach Newsletters on Ticker Tocker (@rohrintl): https://bit.ly/37uQAGa
In light of many new or fledgling traders, and even some experienced investors, who are not familiar with foundation level trend analysis, we have decided to share parts of our long-established ‘Price Trend Analysis Seminar’. While we already had a very well regarded technical trend training regime for many years, our involvement with London financial services firms into their mid-1980s Big Bang deregulation meant we had to explore the macro/fundamental and technical trend analysis nexus… this is the story of how that came about, and the important initial insights on ‘expectations’ (from 22:00 onward.) Enjoy!!
@ROHRINTL Ticker Tocker Alan Rohrbach Channel Broadcast Archives:
(video presentation of the analysis with full charts and graphs)
https://app.tickertocker.com/newsletters/newsletter/1167
All James Burke ‘The Day the Universe Changed’ content
©British Broadcasting Company & James Burke 1985
Palazzo Grid Picture: https://bit.ly/3uf3C4A
Perspective Drawing Picture: https://bit.ly/37uFfWC
Maxell Cassette Tape Ad: 1980 ‘Blown Away’: https://bit.ly/37qhrn1
Macro-Technical Overview: Supply/Demand Curves: https://bit.ly/3dohsvw
Rohr International ‘Price Trend Analysis Seminar: The Broad Concept’
Initial Demand Elasticity ‘Expectation Curves’: https://bit.ly/3saJRJs
Hypothetical Price Shifts Within ‘Expectation Curves’: https://bit.ly/37vwxHR
Annotated 5-year Weekly S&P 500 Future Continuation Chart
Through Friday 02/12/2021: https://bit.ly/3jVIvzt
Alan Rohrbach Newsletters on Ticker Tocker (@rohrintl):
We last explored the nature of the long-delayed US government COVID-19 relief bill and some of its weaknesses back in December. Now the markets have a new ‘risk on’ psychology based on the Biden ARP proposal looking very propitious. That is despite the sizable hiccup on the GameStop volatility two weeks ago… and you will hear exactly where that fit in and why it was only a minor irritant.
Annotated 5-year Weekly S&P 500 Future Continuation Chart
Through Friday 02/05/2021: https://bit.ly/2YYXQ8A
@ROHRINTL Ticker Tocker Alan Rohrbach Channel Broadcast Archives:
(video presentation of the analysis with full charts and graphs)
We last explored the true nature of the ‘Santa Claus’ Rally (actually the ‘Santa Portfolio Manager’ Rally) earlier this month. The only problem is the normally bullish Santa has been mugged… more than once. Now it is time to explore the nature of the long-delayed US government COVID-19 relief bill, including some of its less than impressive fine line details which are leaving markets less bullish than some would have hoped.
Annotated 5-year Weekly S&P 500 Future Continuation Chart
Through Friday 12/18/2020: https://bit.ly/3nBUa7L
@ROHRINTL Ticker Tocker Newsletters Page:
Including Listings with Special Year End Pricing:
Last Friday we explored the already aggressive international intermarket ‘risk-on’ psychology being reinforced by the ‘win-win’ nature of the US Employment report. It’s weakness further focused the US Congress on finally coming closer together on possibly passing a COVID-19 economic relief package. Yet there is also another key seasonal factor in the form of ‘Santa’… yet that’s not actually Mr. Claus.
Last Wednesday we explored the critical nature of the Biden state election certifications at the ‘nexus’ of politics and pandemic. That restored the more aggressive international intermarket ‘risk-on’ psychology. Even after stalling into early this week, the ‘risk-on’ psychology has been reinforced by the resurrection of the US government COVID-19 relief package talks. That made Friday’s US Employment report a ‘win-win’ event, even if weaker than expected… as it turned out was the case. See the formal release and Reuters article in the Notes.
The following charts and links supplement the discussion:
Annotated 5-year Weekly S&P 500 Future Continuation Chart
Through Friday 11/27/2020: https://bit.ly/39A23pM
Annotated 6-month Daily December S&P 500 Future Chart
Through Friday 12/04/2020 12:00 CST: https://bit.ly/3lGvau7
BLS (Bureau of Labor Statistics) Employment Report:
November release (12/04/2020): https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm
Reuters Article Shortly After US Employment Report:
(12/04/2020): https://reut.rs/3mINtQD
Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD):
Quarterly Economic Outlook (12/01/2020): http://bit.ly/2D5BvLK
Quarterly Economic Outlook Growth Graph:
Last Wednesday we explored the critical nature of the Biden state election certifications at the ‘nexus’ of politics and pandemic. That restored the more aggressive international intermarket ‘risk-on’ psychology. Even after stalling into early this week, it now seems to be in force again. That is on positive factors in ‘the next outlook’ along with renewed US government relief potential still at the political-pandemic nexus, and global macro expectations we discuss here.
The following charts and links supplement the discussion:
Annotated 5-year Weekly S&P 500 Future Continuation Chart
Through Friday 11/27/2020: https://bit.ly/39A23pM
Annotated 6-month Daily December S&P 500 Future Chart
Through Tuesday 12/01/2020: https://bit.ly/36rOhDH
Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD):
Quarterly Economic Outlook (12/01/2020): http://bit.ly/2D5BvLK
Quarterly Economic Outlook Growth Graph:
As noted back on November 10th, US equities were going to be ‘on the ‘yin-yang’ of wide fluctuations due to contrary pandemic forces. In an unusually clear macro-technical development, the Biden election certification was a critical point at the ‘nexus’ of politics and pandemic. The ensuing international intermarket ‘risk-on’ psychology is driven by another factor we will share near the end of this discussion… and it is not yet being discussed by most analysts.
The following annotated charts supplement the discussion:
Annotated 5-year weekly December S&P 500 Future Chart
Through Friday 11/20/2020: https://bit.ly/2IXiotz
Annotated 6-month Daily December S&P 500 Future Chart
Through Wednesday 11/25/2020:https://bit.ly/3m6AUOM
There were major US equities price swings in both directions on Monday. Yet the overall impact can be measured by where it finished, and the macro-technical implications from the global govvies. Of course, all of this is in the context of the major Pfizer vaccine announcement.
The following weekly charts with projections supplement the discussion
December S&P 500 future through Monday 11/09: https://bit.ly/3eMWhle
December T-note future through Monday 11/09: https://bit.ly/36fL9ti
December Bund future through Monday 11/09: https://bit.ly/35gTH45
